On Current Polling For the 2010 Mid Terms and My Early Predictions

I am not paying much attention to polling in individual races like this one, at least not yet. But if you mine into the internals of these polls, even now, you will find some real bugaboos for the wingnuts, like a surprising, to me at least, persistent laying of larger blame for our current straights on the wingnuts. Where the blame belongs.

Sure many are polling well against incumbent dems, even in some blue states, but most are not really that focused on the actual race and it’s candidates in those states. They never do, until around labor day. So I think much of the negative polling toward dems is just a nay that things haven’t improved to the level most would like, and when faced with an election day choice of what lever to pull, will not pull the lever easily for the party, and it’s candidate they hold ultimately responsible for causing their problems.

Many will vote against dems, and there is no doubt the energy is highest on the winger side, but it has only been two years since the repubs and Bush were running things into the ground. When voters are reminded of this on their teevee sets, some reality will cause them to realize they only have two choices, and one choice they have been there done that for eight years instead of just two with Obama.

I am predicting that dems will lose 5 senate seats and 25 House seats.